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Lesson 13 of 25

Will the Stock Market Decline when the Baby Boomers Retire?

In this lecture, we use the overlapping generations model from the previous class to see, mathematically, how demographic changes can influence interest rates and asset prices. We evaluate Tobin's statement that a perpetually growing population could solve the Social Security problem, and resolve, in a surprising way, a classical argument about the link between birth rates and the level of the stock market. Lastly, we finish by laying some of the philosophical and statistical groundwork for dealing with uncertainty.

Source: Open Yale Courses

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Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy

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Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk

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Financial Theory - Video Series

25 lessons

Lessons

1
Why Finance?
2
Utilities, Endowments, and Equilibrium
3
Computing Equilibrium
4
Efficiency, Assets, and Time
5
Present Value Prices and the Real Rate of Interest
6
Irving Fisher's Impatience Theory of Interest
7
Shakespeare's Merchant of Venice and Collateral, Present Value and the Vocabulary of Finance
8
How a Long-Lived Institution Figures an Annual Budget Yield
9
Yield Curve Arbitrage
10
Dynamic Present Value
11
Financial Implications of US Social Security System
12
Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy
13
Will the Stock Market Decline when the Baby Boomers Retire?
14
Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk
15
Uncertainty and the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
16
Backward Induction and Optimal Stopping Times
17
Callable Bonds and the Mortgage Prepayment Option
18
Modeling Mortgage Prepayments and Valuing Mortgages
19
Dynamic Hedging
20
Dynamic Hedging and Average Life
21
Risk Aversion and CAPM
22
The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems
23
Risk, Return, and Social Security
24
Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
25
Shadow Banking: Parallel and Growing?
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