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Lesson 11 of 25

Financial Implications of US Social Security System

This lecture continues the analysis of Social Security started at the end of the last class. We describe the creation of the system in 1938 by Franklin Roosevelt and Frances Perkins and its current financial troubles. For many democrats Social Security is the most successful government program ever devised and for many Republicans Social Security is a bankrupt program that needs to be privatized. Is there any way to reconcile the views of Democrats and Republicans? How did the system get into so much financial trouble? We will see that the mess becomes quite clear when examined with the proper present value approach. Present value analysis reveals the flaws in the three most popular analyses of Social Security, that the financial breakdown is the fault of the baby boomers, that privatization would bring young investors a better return than they anticipate getting from their social security contributions, and that privatization is impossible without compromising today's retired workers.

Source: Open Yale Courses

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Financial Theory - Video Series

25 lessons

Lessons

1
Why Finance?
2
Utilities, Endowments, and Equilibrium
3
Computing Equilibrium
4
Efficiency, Assets, and Time
5
Present Value Prices and the Real Rate of Interest
6
Irving Fisher's Impatience Theory of Interest
7
Shakespeare's Merchant of Venice and Collateral, Present Value and the Vocabulary of Finance
8
How a Long-Lived Institution Figures an Annual Budget Yield
9
Yield Curve Arbitrage
10
Dynamic Present Value
11
Financial Implications of US Social Security System
12
Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy
13
Will the Stock Market Decline when the Baby Boomers Retire?
14
Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk
15
Uncertainty and the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
16
Backward Induction and Optimal Stopping Times
17
Callable Bonds and the Mortgage Prepayment Option
18
Modeling Mortgage Prepayments and Valuing Mortgages
19
Dynamic Hedging
20
Dynamic Hedging and Average Life
21
Risk Aversion and CAPM
22
The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems
23
Risk, Return, and Social Security
24
Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
25
Shadow Banking: Parallel and Growing?
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