State the Probability of an Event as Odds

The probabilities can also be stated in terms of odds. For example, odds for an event or odds against an event.

Let’s say that the probability of an event occurring is P(E). If we roll a die, the probability of getting a 5 is P(5) = 1/6.

Odds for E

The odds for Event E to occur can be stated as follows:

In our example, the odds for getting a 5 are (1/6)/(1 – 1/6)= 1/5 or one-to-five.

Odds against E

The odds against Event E to occur can be stated as follows:

In our example, the odds against getting a 5 are (1 – 1/6)/(1/6)= 5/1 or 5-to-one.

The concept of odds doesn’t have much relevance in finance and investments. It is more commonly used in betting.

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Data Science in Finance: 9-Book Bundle

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Master R and Python for financial data science with our comprehensive bundle of 9 ebooks.

What's Included:

  • Getting Started with R
  • R Programming for Data Science
  • Data Visualization with R
  • Financial Time Series Analysis with R
  • Quantitative Trading Strategies with R
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  • Credit Risk Modelling With R
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  • Machine Learning in Finance using Python

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