How to Estimate Dividend Growth Rate?

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While calculating the value of a stock using the dividend discount model, an important input is the assumed growth rate. Analysts can estimate this growth rate using a variety of methods.

  1. Analysts can observe the historical growth in dividends of the company and assume a future growth rate based on this observation.
  2. Analysts can observe the dividend growth rate in the industry that the company operates in and use the median industry dividend growth rate.
  3. Analysts can use the sustainable growth rate calculated using return on equity (ROE), and dividend payout ratio.
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