Gordon Growth Model (GGM)
- The GGM is a variation on the standard DDM that allows the analyst to assume that dividends will grow in perpetuity at a constant rate.
V0 = Div1 /(rce - gdiv)
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Div1 = D0 * (1 + gdiv) = future period dividend payment
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rce = by now you should know this!
In an exam problem CFA might make you derive the required return on common equity via CAPM.
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gdiv = growth rate of the dividend
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Note that in order for GGM to "work", the required return on common equity must be greater than the expected growth rate of the dividend.
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GGM can also be used to value preferred stocks, whose dividend payments are fixed.
Preferred Stock V0 = Pref Div /r preferred stock
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GGM can be appropriate when:
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The analyst is looking at broad equity indexes.
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The analyst is valuing steadily growing companies that pay dividends.
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GGM has drawbacks of:
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Being incredibly sensitive to small changes in the model inputs.
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An inability to value companies that do not pay dividends.
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An inability to value companies whose growth is not stable.